Thursday, August 25, 2011
Study finds that carriers will deploy next-generation FTTH when prices drop
According to a report by Lightwave, carriers are interested in next-generation fiber to the home systems technology, but are waiting for the prices to come down. Consequently, trials and deployments of 10G EPON, and WDM-PON will come to market more slowly, says market research firm Infonetics Research.
This does not mean that next-generation FTTH technologies, particularly 10G EPON, will not be deployed at all in the next year, according to the Infonetics findings.
Infonetics published these findings when it released its “2011 Next Gen FTTH and PON Deployment Strategies: Global Service Provider Survey.” The 26-page survey studies results from interviews with incumbent and competitive players in North America, EMEA, Asia-Pacific, and Central and Latin America.
The respondents were asked about plans, drivers, pricing and product requirements for next-generation PON FTTH systems. The study also analyzes current perceptions about FTTH PON manufacturers.
"Operators know they will have to keep pace with growing bandwidth demands. But for the most part, respondents will not replace existing FTTH technologies until the pricing of next-generation technologies - including 10G EPON, XGPON1 (asymmetric 10G PON), and WDM-PON - reaches parity with current equipment prices," says Jeff Heynen, directing analyst for broadband access at Infonetics.
Respondents of the survey cited greater bandwidth per subscriber as the key reason for interest in next-generation PON FTTH systems. Delivery of IPTV and broadcast video were also rated very highly. Meanwhile, carriers listed VoIP, 802.11n, and HPNA capabilities as being amongst the most desirable in ONTs. These findings show a continued shift away from basic bridge devices to integrated residential gateways, states Infonetics.
A report in IPTV News says that the worldwide IPTV market will grow over the next five years to reach $49 billion in service revenues and 113 million subscribers by 2015, with multiscreen video usage driving wireless services to new highs, according to a report from Multimedia Research Group.
Systems revenues for the seven key Capex IPTV products analyzed will grow to $4.8 billion in 2015, with set-top boxes responsible for about 60 percent of those revenues, says the report.
By 2015, at least 25 IPTV operators around the globe are expected to have over one million subscribers, with nine having reached more than three million, the United States having two operators with over 7.5 million each and Europe having 12 IPTV operators with over one million each, states MRG.